Mark Newton Says Buy the Tech Dip. He Also Says Don't Go All In.
Fundstrat's Mark Newton wants investors buying the tech dip while staying diversified, as CoreWeave's debt load rattles the AI trade. The equal-weight S&P 500 is down about 6% while the headline index just set a record. That gap is the whole story.
JUST IN: Fundstrat's Mark Newton says buy the tech dip. He just doesn't want you doing it with both hands.
Here's the mess he's walking into. CoreWeave, the AI cloud provider, got hammered for 15% at one point as its debt kept bond traders nervous. Yields on that paper are sitting higher. That's a real problem when the entire AI buildout runs on borrowed money.
But the tape's been split for weeks. The equal-weight S&P 500, where every company counts the same, fell about 6%. The headline S&P 500 hit a record just seven trading days before Newton's interview.
So which index is lying to you?
Newton's answer is neither. Buy the weakness in tech, then diversify away from it. That's a hedge against the very trade he's telling you to make.
And honestly, he's right. Even if it's the most boring call on the Street. The AI trade stopped being a growth story a while ago. It's a credit story now. CoreWeave's bond yields are the tell, and when a company leasing GPU capacity has to pay up to borrow, the whole supply chain feels it.
The equal-weight drop is the part nobody wants to talk about. Six percent down while the cap-weighted index sets records means the average stock is bleeding while a handful of AI names carry everything. That's not a rally. That's a squeeze.
Diversify means what, exactly? Newton points you away from the crowded AI mega-cap pile and toward what's been left behind. Equal-weight exposure. Sectors that don't need a data center to make money. Boring stuff. Also the stuff that survives a debt-driven unwind.
Is this a dip or a trap? Depends on rates. If CoreWeave's borrowing costs keep climbing, every AI darling with a fat debt load gets repriced. That's the wild card Newton can't fully hedge, and he knows it.
Traders are watching closely for two things: whether CoreWeave's yields cool off, and whether the equal-weight index keeps diverging from the headline number. If that gap widens again, this dip gets a lot less fun to buy.